Poker Memory

Maybe 15 years ago, I went to the Foxwood poker tables (vs. 9 other people), got pocket Queens, and had an Ace come up on the flop. I maxed out the bet and lost close to $100. So the other morning I woke up and the thought in my head was, "I really should have computed the probability that someone else had an Ace". Which was 1 - 44P18/47P18 = 1 - 0.225 = 0.775 = 77.5%. Sometimes my brain works glacially slow like that.

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